Lilo & Stitch Box Office Prediction: Can the Disney Remake Soar to $1 Billion by Run’s End?

Disney’s live-action Lilo & Stitch has ignited the global box office, amassing $613,458,645 worldwide, with $278,930,108 domestic (45.5%) and $334,528,537 international (54.5%), per Box Office Mojo.

This Lilo & Stitch box office prediction analyzes its stellar trajectory, record-breaking Memorial Day debut, and potential to reach $1 billion by the end of its theatrical run.

With strong audience reception, international appeal, and a lean $100 million budget, the film is poised for historic success. Let’s break down the numbers, trends, and factors shaping its final gross.

What Drove Lilo & Stitch’s Record-Breaking Opening?

Lilo & Stitch stormed theaters on May 23, 2025, grossing $341.7 million globally over its Memorial Day weekend, including $183 million domestically (4-day) and $158.7 million internationally, per Box Office Mojo.

Its $145.5 million 3-day domestic opening set the record for the biggest Memorial Day debut, surpassing Top Gun: Maverick’s $160.5 million, as reported by The Hollywood Reporter.

The film’s $14 million in domestic previews and A CinemaScore fueled momentum, with posts on X from @meJat32 noting massive pre-sales. Nostalgia for the 2002 animated classic, amplified by Disney+ streams, drew families (40% of opening weekend) and non-parents, especially Gen Z and millennials.

Its 90-minute runtime allowed more screenings, boosting ticket sales.

How Are International Markets Shaping Its Success?

International markets have been a powerhouse, contributing 54.5% of the $613.5 million global cume. The film earned $158.7 million across 52 markets during its opening, with top performers including Mexico ($45.9 million), the UK ($34.5 million), France ($23.1 million), Brazil ($21.6 million), and Germany ($18.1 million), per Deadline.

China’s $10 million-plus debut, tied to Stitch’s popularity at Shanghai Disney Resort, added significant heft.

The film’s universal themes of family and belonging, paired with Stitch’s $2.6 billion merchandise empire, have driven global appeal.

With upcoming releases in Japan (June 6) and Hong Kong, international grosses could push past $500 million, supporting a bullish Lilo & Stitch box office prediction.

What Records Has Lilo & Stitch Already Broken?

Lilo & Stitch has shattered multiple records. Its $183 million 4-day domestic opening is the largest Memorial Day weekend ever, per Rotten Tomatoes. Globally, its $341.7 million debut ranks as the third-biggest for a Disney live-action remake, behind The Lion King ($191.7 million) and Beauty and the Beast ($174.7 million). It also posted the fifth-biggest Monday gross at $37.5 million.

The film outgrossed the 2002 original’s entire global run ($273.1 million) in five days and became 2025’s fourth-highest-grossing Hollywood film, surpassing Sinners ($350.1 million) and Snow White ($204.9 million), per Koimoi.=

A 69% Rotten Tomatoes score and 94% audience Popcornmeter rating signal strong word-of-mouth.

Can Lilo & Stitch Reach $1 Billion Globally?

With $613.5 million banked after two weekends, Lilo & Stitch is a contender for $1 billion. Its second weekend added $63 million domestically (57% drop) and $113.1 million internationally (28% drop), showing solid holds.

ScreenRant projects a potential $1.7 billion global finish if momentum persists, though $1.05–$1.15 billion is more realistic, per @cosmic_marvel on X.

The film’s $100 million budget and low $205 million breakeven point ensure profitability, per Variety. Strong pre-sales, noted by ScreenRant, and minimal competition until Ballerina and How to Train Your Dragon suggest sustained performance.

A 2.5–3x multiplier from its $145.5 million 3-day opening could yield $350–$435 million domestically, with international markets potentially hitting $600–$700 million.

What Challenges Could Impact Its Final Gross?

Despite its dominance, Lilo & Stitch faces hurdles. The crowded summer slate, including Karate Kid: Legends ($47 million global debut) and Mission: Impossible – The Final Reckoning ($200 million), competes for screens.

A 57% domestic second-weekend drop, while standard for blockbusters, suggests front-loaded demand, per Box Office Mojo.

Seasonal shifts, like back-to-school periods, could slow family turnout. However, the film’s 90-minute runtime, PG rating, and lack of direct family-film competition until late June bolster its legs. Posts on X, like @DanielRPK’s claim of a guaranteed sequel due to its $600 million weekly cume, reflect industry confidence.

What’s the Final Lilo & Stitch Box Office Prediction?

Based on current data, Lilo & Stitch is projected to gross $900 million–$1.1 billion worldwide by the end of its run. A conservative 2.5x domestic multiplier from its $145.5 million opening yields $363.75 million domestically, while a 2x international multiplier from $334.5 million could reach $669 million, totaling $1.03 billion.

Stronger holds, driven by Japan’s release and holiday periods, could push it past $1.1 billion, per Koimoi’s analysis.

The film’s cultural resonance, led by Maia Kealoha’s Lilo and Chris Sanders’ Stitch, and Dean Fleischer Camp’s direction, ensures longevity. If it maintains its 28% international drop rate, a $1.2 billion ceiling isn’t impossible, though $1 billion remains the most likely milestone.

Some Closing Thoughts:

The Lilo & Stitch box office prediction paints a picture of a Disney triumph, with $613.5 million already secured and a path to $1 billion in sight.

Its record-breaking start, global appeal, and lean budget position it as 2025’s top Hollywood earner, potentially outpacing A Minecraft Movie ($940.7 million).

As Stitch and Lilo continue to charm audiences, this remake proves Disney’s live-action formula can still deliver. Watch for updates as it chases box office history.