✨ The Emerald City's Final Scroll: What is the Ultimate Wicked: For Good's Box Office Prediction?

The curtain may be drawing on the theatrical run of Universal Pictures' dazzling musical sequel, Wicked: For Good, but the financial narrative is far from over. Based on the most recent, albeit not final, figures reported by Box Office Mojo as of late November 2025, the film has amassed a formidable $393,258,920 worldwide gross.

This total is segmented into $270,440,920 from the Domestic (North American) market (68.8% of the total) and $122,818,000 internationally (31.2%). This domestic-heavy performance mirrors the trend set by its predecessor, Wicked (2024).

A deeper dive into these numbers, coupled with industry chatter and performance indicators, allows for a nuanced Wicked: For Good's box office prediction of its final box office take.

Did Wicked: For Good Break the Right Records?

The sequel, starring Cynthia Erivo and Ariana Grande, debuted with a record-smashing opening weekend for a Broadway adaptation, hauling in approximately $150 million domestically (3-day) and an estimated $226 million worldwide upon its November 2025 launch.

This opening outpaced the first film's global start of $164.2 million, validating Universal’s decision to split the story across two movies and capitalize on the massive built-in fanbase and holiday release window.

However, subsequent weeks have introduced a note of caution. The second weekend saw a domestic drop of around 57.3% to $62.8 million.

While this is a common occurrence after a huge Thanksgiving debut, it points to a slightly more front-loaded performance compared to the original Wicked, which benefited from extremely strong holiday legs.

The film's A CinemaScore suggests excellent audience word-of-mouth, which remains a critical factor for sustaining box office momentum in the weeks leading up to the new year.

Is the International Market Hurting the Worldwide Total?

The international gross of $122.8 million lags significantly behind the domestic take, a situation that mirrors the first film, which saw 62.5% of its $758.8 million worldwide gross come from North America.

Recent reports show a sharp international drop-off in its second weekend, with some analysts noting that outside of key Anglosphere markets like the UK and Australia, the Wicked franchise does not hold the same universal appeal as other fantasy or animated blockbusters.

The strong domestic performance has been crucial for the film’s financial success. Given the reported production budget of the two-part event is estimated to be in the $300-$320 million range, with a break-even point for For Good alone estimated around $375 million (not accounting for a separate, massive marketing spend), the film has already sailed into profitability.

Its current worldwide total of over $393 million has surpassed the estimated break-even point, securing it as a major box office victory for the studio.

What is the Most Likely Final Box Office Prediction for Wicked: For Good?

Wicked: For Good has demonstrated exceptional domestic strength and a robust, if slightly less enthusiastic, international reception. The film is now facing a strong box office headwind from the newly released animated sequel Zootopia 2.

Given its strong starting position and typical December holds for holiday releases, a conservative yet highly optimistic trajectory suggests the following:

• Domestic: The final domestic total is likely to climb to the $350 million to $400 million range. The film’s strong holiday performance over its first two weeks already puts it well on the path to becoming one of the highest-grossing films of the year.

• International: The international gross will likely continue to be front-loaded. A final international take between $180 million and $220 million seems plausible, but it is unlikely to reach the higher numbers of the first film's $283.7 million international run.

• Worldwide: Combining these estimates, the final worldwide gross for Wicked: For Good is projected to land squarely in the $530 million to $620 million range.

While this predicted final gross is a fantastic result that guarantees profitability and franchise longevity, it suggests that the sequel, despite a bigger opening, may not ultimately surpass the original film’s $758.8 million final worldwide haul.

Some Closing Thoughts

The final chapter of Elphaba and Glinda’s journey has secured its place as a significant box office success, further solidifying the two-part film strategy as a shrewd move by Universal. The initial surge was powerful enough to guarantee a substantial final tally.

While the international performance, especially in contrast to the first film, might temper expectations for a run at the billion-dollar mark, the domestic loyalty and holiday legs will ensure a highly profitable outcome.

The story of Wicked on the big screen, thankfully, ends on a very high financial note.

So, what are your expectations from Wicked: For Good in terms of box office performance? Let us know in the comments section down below!