Wicked: For Good's Opening Weekend Projections: Will It Cast a Spell on the Box Office?

The long-awaited sequel, Jon M. Chu's "Wicked: For Good," has finally flown into theaters, igniting immense excitement and prompting a flurry of box office speculation.

The industry is currently buzzing with data trying to pinpoint Wicked: For Good's Opening Weekend Projections, with verified reports indicating the film is poised for a truly spectacular global debut.

Following the critical and commercial success of its predecessor, the sequel is not just expected to perform well, but to potentially register an all-time record for a musical adaptation's opening weekend. The current verifiable estimates point toward a worldwide opening that could soar into the range of $195 million to $230 million USD.

What Early Indicators Suggest About Wicked: For Good's Opening Weekend Projections?

Several key metrics available online strongly suggest that "Wicked: For Good" will command the box office. The film has reportedly registered the biggest pre-sales of 2025, signaling exceptional audience demand and anticipation. This massive pre-release momentum is a significant factor in driving projection figures higher.

• North American Triumph: Early screenings and Thursday previews in the US and Canada have already generated a huge sum, with one report citing a massive $30.8 million domestic preview haul. 

  
  

  This is a record for 2025 previews and a strong foundation for the main weekend. Official forecasts for the domestic (US and Canada) three-day weekend range primarily between $125 million and $151.5 million USD.

  
  

• International Contribution: Overseas markets are critical to the final global total. Current verified reports project that the international opening could contribute an additional $70 million to $80 million USD over its five-day overseas debut.

How Does This Compare to the Previous Chapter's Box Office Launch?

The sequel is emphatically set to surpass the impressive opening of the first Wicked installment.

Note: International Opening for the first film is estimated by subtracting the domestic opening from the global total.

What Factors Could Temper or Exceed These Predictions?

While the initial numbers are phenomenal, a few nuances merit consideration.

The sequel's critical reviews (around 70-73% on Rotten Tomatoes) are currently lower than the glowing reviews received by the first film (88%).

However, the audience score remains near-perfect (96-97%), indicating that the core fan base is overwhelmingly satisfied. This is a classic box office dynamic: critic reviews may only slightly affect the highly-anticipated opening weekend, but they can play a larger role in a film's long-term "legs" or staying power.

The film's domestic debut is strategically timed for the lucrative Thanksgiving holiday corridor, which guarantees strong box office performance over a five-day period.

This holiday push is a powerful tailwind. Conversely, its performance in certain international territories, such as a notably soft opening in India, underscores the reality that genre preferences can vary significantly across global markets.

Some Closing Thoughts

"Wicked: For Good" is clearly leveraging the goodwill, high production value, and star power (Cynthia Erivo and Ariana Grande) established by the first film.

The film is not only projected to be a major box office victory for Universal but is also poised to be one of the biggest opening weekends of 2025.

The current trajectory strongly suggests that a worldwide opening north of $200 million is highly achievable, positioning it as a record-setting musical adaptation and a much-needed boost for the box office as the year concludes.

So, what are your expectations from Wicked: For Good's box office performance on its opening weekend? Let us know in the comments section down below!