Will Superman, The Fantastic Four: First Steps & Jurassic World Rebirth Each Make $1 Billion At The Box Office in July 2025?

Will Superman, The Fantastic Four: First Steps & Jurassic World Rebirth each make $1 billion at the box office? That’s the question gripping Hollywood as July 2025 shapes up to be a historic month.

With Jurassic World Rebirth (July 2), Superman (July 11), and The Fantastic Four: First Steps (July 25) tracking for massive opening weekends—potentially totaling $3 billion globally over their theatrical runs—these blockbusters could redefine the summer box office.

Below, we analyze their chances of hitting the coveted $1 billion mark within 6–8 weeks of release, based on current projections, franchise histories, and market dynamics, using data from Deadline, The Hollywood Reporter, and Box Office Mojo.

Highlights of July 2025’s Box Office Potential

• Jurassic World Rebirth: $115–$135M 5-day domestic opening, $800M–$1.18B global projection, strong franchise legacy.

• Superman: $140–$185M 3-day domestic opening, $700M–$1B global projection, boosted by James Gunn’s DCU debut.

• The Fantastic Four: First Steps: $125–$155M 3-day domestic opening, $650M–$1B global projection, MCU Phase 6 kickoff.

• Combined Openings: $380–$475M domestic, potentially $600–$750M globally in July’s first four weeks.

• Market Context: Crowded summer with How to Train Your Dragon ($198M global debut) and Lilo & Stitch ($858M global).

• $3B Month Potential: All three films hitting $1B within 6–8 weeks could make July 2025 a record-breaking month.

What Are the Opening Weekend Projections for Each Film?

Jurassic World Rebirth is tracking for a $115–$135M domestic 5-day opening over the Fourth of July weekend, per Deadline, with Universal’s conservative estimate at $90–$100M. Superman leads with a $140–$185M 3-day domestic debut, potentially surpassing Batman v Superman’s $166M DCEU record, according to Box Office Theory.

The Fantastic Four: First Steps follows closely with a $125–$155M 3-day domestic opening, ranking among the MCU’s top 12 debuts if it hits the high end. Combined, these openings could yield $380–$475M domestically and $600–$750M globally (assuming a 60/40 domestic-to-international split), setting the stage for a $3B global month if each film sustains strong legs over 6–8 weeks.

Can Jurassic World Rebirth Reach $1 Billion in 6–8 Weeks?

Jurassic World Rebirth has the strongest shot at $1 billion, given the franchise’s track record: Jurassic World ($1.67B, 2015), Fallen Kingdom ($1.3B, 2018), and Dominion ($1B, 2022) all crossed the mark despite mixed reviews. Current projections estimate $800M–$1.18B globally, with a $130M domestic opening and $900M total as a baseline, per Geek Vibes Nation.

Its $180M budget (down from Dominion’s $265M) requires ~$450M to break even, making $1B achievable within 6 weeks if it maintains a 3.5–4x multiplier (similar to Dominion’s 3.7x). Strengths include its July 2 holiday slot, Scarlett Johansson’s star power, and family appeal, though lack of IMAX screens and Dominion’s 29% Rotten Tomatoes score pose risks.

X posts predict $800–$900M, but historical data favors a billion-dollar finish.

Can Superman Hit $1 Billion in 6–8 Weeks?

James Gunn’s Superman, launching the DCU, is projected at $700M–$1B globally, with a $140–$185M domestic opening and $22M in Thursday previews alone. The film’s $200–$363M budget (Gunn disputes the higher figure) demands $600–$900M to profit, per The Hollywood Reporter.

Its 250M-view trailer, the most-watched in Warner Bros./DC history, signals massive buzz, but superhero fatigue and a 2013 Man of Steel’s $668M ceiling raise doubts. A 4–5x multiplier (like The Batman’s 4.8x) could push it to $800M–$925M in 6–8 weeks, per X estimates of $750–$800M.

Competition from Rebirth and Fantastic Four may cap its legs, but Gunn’s vision and David Corenswet’s appeal make $1B possible if reviews soar (projected 80%+ Rotten Tomatoes).

Can The Fantastic Four: First Steps Cross $1 Billion in 6–8 Weeks?

The Fantastic Four: First Steps projects $650M–$1B globally, with a $125–$155M domestic opening and record-breaking 2025 presales, per Fandango. Its $200M budget needs ~$500M to break even, a feasible target given the MCU’s Deadpool & Wolverine ($1.3B, 2024).

Past Fantastic Four films flopped ($330M, $301M, $168M), but Marvel’s Phase 6 debut, 1960s setting, and cast (Pedro Pascal, Vanessa Kirby) boost its odds. Boxoffice Pro estimates $800M, with X users predicting $700–$975M.

A 4–5x multiplier could yield $800–$900M in 6–8 weeks, but its July 25 release faces overlap with Superman and Rebirth’s holdovers, potentially limiting screens. Stellar reviews (projected 85% Rotten Tomatoes) and MCU momentum could push it to $1B.

What Factors Could Prevent a $1 Billion Trifecta?

Several hurdles threaten the $3B dream. First, competition: How to Train Your Dragon’s $198M global debut and Lilo & Stitch’s $858M global total show a crowded family market, while Superman and Fantastic Four vie for superhero fans.

Second, franchise fatigue: Dominion’s poor reception, Man of Steel’s modest solo run, and prior Fantastic Four failures could dampen enthusiasm. Third, economic inflation may curb spending, as noted on X.

Finally, screen availability—Rebirth lacks IMAX, and Fantastic Four may lose PLF screens to August releases like Freakier Friday—could cap grosses. Each film needs a 5–6x multiplier to hit $1B, a tall order in a compressed July window.

What Drives the Potential for a $3 Billion Month?

Despite risks, July 2025 has unique advantages. Rebirth’s holiday launch and dinosaur appeal ensure broad reach, with men and women under 25 driving interest (67 awareness, 60 interest, per Puck News). Superman’s DCU stakes and Gunn’s track record (Guardians of the Galaxy’s $773M) fuel hype, with 56 awareness and 49 interest scores.

Fantastic Four’s MCU clout and presale records signal a comeback, with fans craving a hit after Thunderbolts’s underperformance. The summer box office, rebounding from 2024’s $3.6B to a projected $4B+, supports big swings, per Variety.

If each film earns $400–$500M domestically and $500–$600M internationally within 6–8 weeks, July could hit $3B, a feat unseen since 2019’s eight $1B films.

How Likely Is a Record-Breaking July 2025?

Historical data suggests a mixed outlook. Jurassic World Rebirth is a near-lock for $1B, mirroring its predecessors’ consistency and needing only a 3.5–4x multiplier. Superman’s $1B hinges on breaking Man of Steel’s ceiling and sustaining legs against Fantastic Four, likely hitting $800–$925M unless word-of-mouth explodes.

Fantastic Four faces the toughest climb, needing to defy its franchise’s history and July’s crowded end, with $800–$900M more realistic. Combined, $2.4–$2.8B is probable, but $3B requires all three films to overperform (e.g., 5x multipliers and 60/40 international splits).

Bleeding Cool predicts Rebirth as the summer’s winner, with Fantastic Four outpacing Superman if MCU fans rally.

Some Closing Thoughts:

Will Superman, The Fantastic Four: First Steps & Jurassic World Rebirth each make $1 billion at the box office? The odds favor Jurassic World Rebirth clearing the mark within 6 weeks, thanks to its franchise pedigree and holiday boost.

Superman has a strong shot at $800M–$1B, but needs exceptional reviews to hit $1B in 8 weeks. The Fantastic Four: First Steps faces the steepest challenge, likely landing at $800–$900M unless it becomes a cultural phenomenon.

July 2025 could still be a $2.8–$3B month, rivaling 2011’s record July, if these titans capitalize on their openings and avoid cannibalizing each other.

Hollywood’s holding its breath for a prehistoric, superpowered, cosmic showdown.